« 4人で矢野口練習会 | Main | 芋で二日酔い »

Wednesday, June 15, 2005

結局 朝練習休みました。

いろいろ調べ物やらなにやら、やっていたら遅くなっちゃった。これでは睡眠時間が少なすぎて、朝練習は無理だな。お付き合いしてくれるひといなそうだし、あきらめて、夜練習に鞍替え。

11:00PMすぎに、エッホエッホと近所の坂をランで駆け上がってみました。5kmほど。

夜練して、グリコーゲンを枯渇させた状態(のはず)で、朝オリーヴちゃんかりんちゃんとジョギング。最近お散歩ジョギングも続けています。お散歩ジョグをするだけでも、うっすら汗をかきます。これくらいの運動量の方が、かえって脂肪燃焼にはよろしいようで、、、

訓練の成果か、あまり酷くは引っ張らなくなったと思いますよ、かりんちゃん。でも、がいるとだめですね。絶対、獲物だと思ってる。すごい集中力。

ジョグが終わる頃には雨も降り出し、帰宅。本日は夕方から打ち合わせ1件、飲み会も兼ねているので、食べすぎないようにしないと。

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DSCF0658赤ワインの配布会に入会して、毎月数本送られてくるようになったり、「サッカーW杯ドイツ行き決定記念 ワイン福袋」を購入したりと、たまりにたまったボトル。。。冷蔵庫の半分くらいをしめるようになり、家族の食材が入らなくなってきました。かなり危機的状況ということで、思い切ってワインセラーを購入。

19本収納可能となりましたが、まだ数本の白ワインが冷蔵庫の中。さらに空いた場所には、箱買いした第三のビールが入り込んでしまいました。相変わらず、食材が入らない。。。飲んで、スペースを空ける努力をしなきゃ(うきうき)。

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ダイエッターの悪あが記 朝の乾燥重量 62.3kg 16.8%
今朝は朝練してないから、この体重がいまの平均だと思われる。59kgまで遠い。

6月の通算練習量
バイク累計 390km (オーベスト練 x1 : 矢野口 x6 : ママチャリ30km)
ラン累計 38km (2.5km周回 x5 : 訪問先ラン x1)
軟弱ローラー練習 5回

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中国人民元切り上げのXデーが近づいてきていることを実感しています。中国人民元が切り上げられるということは、他の国の通貨に対して中国人民元の価値が相対的に高くなると言うこと。中国で生産されたものがすべて値上がりしてしまいます。年末くらいにXデーが発表されて、来年早々に発動かな?と予想しています。

うちのお客様のほとんどが中国工場を使用して製品を作っています。涙ぐましいコスト管理をしているのに、切り上げで、どーんと1割くらいのリスクがあるとなると、勝負になりません。一部のお客様は、国内生産や他国での生産への切り替えを検討しています。

だいたい人民元の切り上げの波及効果について、明確な答えを持っている人がいないので、世界市場、経済がどう動くのか、予測できないことが問題を大きくしています。アメリカは、自国の貿易赤字と中国の貿易黒字を理由に中国に対して人民元の切り上げを迫っていますが、これは80年代に日本におこなったプラザ合意と同じ論理です。実際には、切り上げが行われても、日用雑貨やアパレルなどの人海戦術製品を、いまからアメリカが国内生産するわけもなく、かえって貿易赤字が拡大する恐れがあります。それに中国の財政と銀行の不良債権は大変なことになっていますから、元の大暴落になる可能性もあります。80年代とはとても比べることができないほど、経済が多様化し、グローバル化してしまった中で、ここまで実質固定相場を引っ張ってしまったこと自体が問題だったと思うのです。

わたしにとっての直接の影響は意外と大きくて、お客様の窓口が中国以外になるかもしれないことと、切り上げ直後はしばらく円高になりそうなこと、そして 100円ショップの品揃えが変わってしまうことでしょうか?

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